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OPEC oil export revenues forecast to increase in 2022 but decline in 2023

We forecast that members of OPEC will collectively earn $842 billion in revenues from oil exports in 2022, the most (adjusted for inflation) for the group since 2014. Based on our forecasts of both OPEC liquid fuels production and of crude oil prices in our Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), OPEC revenues will be nearly 50% higher in 2022 than in 2021. In 2021, OPEC’s export revenues increased by nearly 70%, after the group collectively had its lowest export revenues in 2020 since 2002. The revenue increase this year would be due to both more production and higher crude oil prices.

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